In 1895, a British government committee on prisons, chaired by
Herbert Gladstone, the brother of the former prime minister, found the
following probabilities of a further prison sentence (paragraph
85):
Number of Imprisonments | Probability of Further Prison Sentence |
---|---|
1 | 30% |
2 | 48% |
3 | 64% |
4 | 71% |
5 | 79% |
A century later, the Home Office found that in the first quarter of
2005, the one-year re-offending rate was:
Previous Custodial Sentence | One-Year Re-Offending Rate |
---|---|
0 | 26.0% |
1 | 43.0% |
2 | 51.7% |
3 | 57.0% |
4 | 60.8% |
5 | 62.7% |
6-10 | 88.6% |
11+ | 78.3% |
(Source: e-mail from Home Office Statistics Department)
The data are not quite comparable, but the message is clear: Every
time a person is sent to prison, he or she becomes more likely to
re-offend. Perhaps it is time we learnt this lesson.
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