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“Predicting Recidivism in a Communitarian Society: China”

Liu, Jianhong
June 4, 2015

Source: (2005) International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology. 49(4): 392-409.

Abstract: Research on the prediction of recidivism has largely been an enterprise of Western
criminology. Therefore, the identification and selection of predictors has tended to follow the
individualistic traditions of theWest. Important advances in models and methods have not been
extended to non-Western societies such as China. This article explores the implications of communitarian
features of Chinese urban communities for prediction of recidivism. The article
applies the perspective of social capital to the specification of predictors. Available community
social-capital measures are included in the prediction model to capture the effects of communitarian
cultural features. The results indicate that social capital variables generally have significant


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